Liver surface nodularity: a novel predictor of post-hepatectomy liver failure in patients with colorectal liver metastases following chemotherapy

Objectives: The goal of this study was to assess the relationship between liver surface nodularity (LSN), chemotherapy-associated liver injury (CALI), and clinically relevant post-hepatectomy liver failure (CR-PHLF) (i.e., ≥ grade B) in patients undergoing hepatectomy for colorectal liver metastases (CLM).

Methods: Preoperative CT scans of patients who underwent chemotherapy followed by hepatectomy for CLM between 2010 and 2017 were retrospectively analyzed. LSN was measured using semi-automated CT software CT images in patients who had available preoperative CT scans within 6 weeks before hepatectomy, and was computed based on the means of one to 10 measurements by two abdominal radiologists consensually. The association of LSN, CALI, and CR-PHLF was analyzed.

Results: Two hundred fifty-six patients were analyzed (149 men and 107 women; overall median age, 61 [range, 29-88 years]). A total of 26 patients (10.2%) developed CR-PHLF. The optimal LSN cut-off value for detecting CR-PHLF was 2.5, as determined by receiver operative characteristic analysis (p < 0.001). LSN ≥ 2.5 was associated with prolonged chemotherapy (> 6 cycles, p = 0.018), but not with CALIs. After propensity score matching, LSN remained significantly associated with CR-PHLF (p = 0.031). Furthermore, multivariate analysis identified LSN ≥ 2.50 and future liver remnant (FLR) < 30% as significant preoperative predictors of CR-PHLF in 102 patients undergoing major hepatectomy. LSN ≥ 2.50 was more frequent in patients undergoing major hepatectomy despite FLR ≥ 30% (p = 0.008).

Conclusion: LSN quantified on CT is an independent surrogate of CR-PHLF in patients who undergo chemotherapy followed by hepatectomy for CLM and may provide a valuable additional tool in the preoperative assessment of these patients.

Key points: • LSN was not associated with chemotherapy- associated liver injury but high LSN (defined ≥ 2.5) was associated with prolonged chemotherapy (> 6 cycles). • High LSN was an independent predictor of clinically relevant postoperative liver failure in patients undergoing hepatectomy for CRLM. • LSN ≥ 2.50 was more frequent in patients with PHLF after major hepatectomy despite a future liver remnant ≥ 30%.