A Low Level of Plasmacytoid Dendritic Cells at Engraftment Is a Valuable Prognostic Indicator in Children Receiving Allogeneic Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation

Early prediction and intervention are known to be critical for acute graft-versus-host disease (aGVHD) prevention and treatment. Significant progress has been made in the development of human plasma biomarkers for the risk stratification of aGVHD severity. Whether donor-derived immune cells may predict the occurrence of severe aGVHD early after allogeneic hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (allo-HSCT) remains poorly understood. The objective of this retrospective study was to evaluate the results of allo-HSCT in pediatric patients with different counts and frequencies of dendritic cell (DC) subsets at engraftment in pediatric patients at the Children's Hospital of Soochow University. A total of 45 patients as a discovery cohort were enrolled from March 2018 to December 2018 at the hospital. The validation cohort (30 patients) was enrolled from December 2019 to May 2020. Plasma samples collected from 2016 to 2018 were used for testing ST2 and Reg3α in pediatric patients undergoing allo-HSCT. Patients with grade II-IV aGVHD (n = 18; termed severe aGVHD) showed 3- and 6-fold fewer frequency and numbers, respectively, of plasmacytoid dendritic cells (pDCs) in the peripheral blood (PB) at the engraftment time than patients with grade 0-I aGVHD (n = 27; termed no/mild aGVHD). Using a receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, we identified the threshold of pDC level at 0.3 cell/μL as a cutoff to evaluate the difference in patients with high (>0.3 cell/μL) versus low (<0.3 cell/μL) pDC counts. Of these 45 patients, 21 (46.7%) had a high number of pDCs and 24 (53.3%) had low pDCs. The patients with low pDCs at the time of engraftment had a significantly higher probability of developing severe aGVHD (P < .05). The sensitivity of distinguishing severe aGVHD from no/mild aGVHD was 75%, and the specificity was 94%. In addition, the low pDC patients had higher transplantation-related mortality compared with the high pDC patients (12.5% versus 0%). Using an additional cohort of 30 allo-HSCT patients, we validated this observation. Our findings demonstrate that donor pDC count in PB at the time of engraftment is a valuable biomarker for predicting severe aGVHD in pediatric patients undergoing allo-HSCT.