The predictive value of coronary artery calcification score combined with bone mineral density for the 2-year risk of cardiovascular events in maintenance hemodialysis patients

Purpose: Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of death in maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients. The aim of this study is to investigate the predictive value of coronary artery calcification score (CACs) combined with bone mineral density (BMD) for the risk of cardiovascular diseases in MHD patients.

Methods: From January 2017 to January 2019, we enrolled 112 MHD patients and 112 controls in Ningbo First Hospital, and retrospectively counted the cardiovascular events in the next 2 years after enrollment. According to the occurrence of cardiovascular events, the MHD patients were divided into CVD group and non-CVD group. The differences of vertebral BMD and CACs between the two groups were compared. ROC curve, Kaplan-Meier curve and Cox regression analyses were used for assess the predictive value of 2-year cardiovascular events in MHD patients.

Results: Among 112 MHD patients, 49 (43.75%) patients had cardiovascular events. The results showed that the average value of BMD in MHD patients was significantly lower than that in the control group (99.88 ± 30.99 VS. 108.35 ± 23.98, P = 0.0231). The CACs in MHD patients were significantly higher than that in the control group (317.81 ± 211.53 VS. 190.03 ± 100.50, P < 0.001). The results between CVD group and the non-CVD group were to the same direction (BMD: 81.12 ± 31.28 VS. 114.48 ± 21.61, P < 0.001; CACs: 447.16 ± 234.11 VS. 217.21 ± 119.03, P < 0.001). Besides, CACs combined with BMD yield an AUC of 0.875 with a sensitivity of 79.60%, a specificity of 82.50%. Kaplan-Meier curve and Cox regression analyses indicated that CACs and BMD were independently associated with high risk of cardiovascular events in MHD patients.

Conclusion: The combination of CACs and vertebral BMD could predict the occurrence of cardiovascular events in MHD patients to some extent.