Modified Brixia chest X-ray severity scoring system and correlation with intubation, non-invasive ventilation and death in a hospitalised COVID-19 cohort

Introduction: There are few existing severity scoring systems in the literature, and no formally widely accepted chest X-ray template for reporting COVID-19 infection. We aimed to modify the chest X-ray COVID-19 severity scoring system from the Brixia scoring system with placement of more emphasis on consolidation and to assess if the scoring tool could help predict intubation.

Methods: A severity chest X-ray scoring system was modified from the Brixia scoring system. PCR positive COVID-19 positive patient's chest X-rays admitted to our hospital over 3 months were reviewed and correlated with; non-invasive ventilation, intubation and death. An analysis was performed using a receiver operating curve to predict intubation from all admission chest X-rays.

Results: The median score of all 325 admission chest X-rays was 3 (Interquartile range (IQR) 0-6.5). The median score of admission chest X-rays of those who did not require ICU admission and survived was 1.5 (IQR 0-5); and 9 (IQR 4.75-12) was median admission score of those requiring intubation. The median scores of the pre-intubation ICU chest X-rays was 11.5 (IQR 9-14.125), this increased from a median admission chest X-ray score for this group of 9 (P-value < 0.01). A cut-off score of 6 had a sensitivity of 77% and specificity of 73% in predicting the need for intubation.

Conclusion: Higher chest X-ray severity scores are associated with intubation, need for non-invasive ventilation and death. This tool may also be helpful in predicting intubation.