Premorbid Clinical Frailty Score and 30-day mortality among older adults in the emergency department

Objectives: The association between frailty and short-term prognosis has not been established in critically ill older adults presenting to the emergency department. We sought to examine the association between premorbid frailty and 30-day mortality in this patient population.

Methods: This is a retrospective observational study on older adults aged over 75 who were triaged as Level 1 resuscitation with subsequent admissions to intermediate units or intensive care units (ICUs) in a single critical care center, from January to December 2019. We excluded patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest or those transferred from other hospitals. Frailty was evaluated by the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) from the patients' chart reviews. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality, and we examined the association between frailty scored on the CFS and 30-day mortality using a multivariable logistic regression model with CFS 1-4 as a reference.

Results: A total of 544 patients, median age: 82 years (interquartile rang 78 to 87), were included in the study. Of these, 29% were in shock and 33% were in respiratory failure. The overall 30-day mortality was 15.1%. The adjusted risk difference (95% confidence interval [CI]) in mortality for CFS 5, CFS 6, and CFS 7-9 was 6.3% (-3.4 to 15.9), 11.2% (0.4 to 22.0), and 17.7% (5.3 to 30.1), respectively; and the adjusted risk ratio (95% CI) was 1.45 (0.87 to 2.41), 1.85 (1.13 to 3.03), and 2.44 (1.50 to 3.96), respectively.

Conclusion: The risk of 30-day mortality increased as frailty advanced in critically ill older adults. Given this high risk of short-term outcomes, ED clinicians should consider goals of care conversations carefully to avoid unwanted medical care for these patients.