Prediction of Patient Hepatic Encephalopathy Risk with Freiburg Index of Post-TIPS Survival Score Following Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunts: A Retrospective Study

Background: Hepatic encephalopathy is a complication of portal hypertension. The Freiburg index of transjugular portosystemic shunt (TIPS) and patient outcomes have recently been described. This retrospective study was conducted at a single center in China and included 241 patients with portal hypertension who underwent TIPS implantation to evaluate the Freiburg index of post-TIPS survival score (FIPS) to predict hepatic encephalopathy.

Methods: A single-center retrospective study including 241 patients who underwent TIPS operation between April 2015 and July 2019 was conducted. Clinical demographics and relevant clinical parameters within 24h after admission were collected. The prediction performances of FIPS, Child-Pugh and the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores were compared by decision curve analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. In addition, multivariate analyses were performed to identify independent predictors.

Results: Eighty-three out of 241 patients (34.4%) finally developed post-TIPS hepatic encephalopathy. The area under the ROC curve of FIPS was 0.744 (95% confidence interval: 0.684-0.798). FIPS was identified as an independent risk factor for post-TIPS hepatic encephalopathy (hazard ratio: 2.23, 95% confidence interval: 1.71-2.90, p<0.001). Moreover, we further grouped the FIPS scores into two categories (FIPS ≤-0.97, low-risk; FIPS >-0.97, high risk) to improve its applicability. Patients with high FIPS scores had a significantly higher incidence of hepatic encephalopathy than patients with low FIPS scores (P<0.05).

Conclusion: This study showed that FIPS could be used to evaluate the risk of hepatic encephalopathy in this patient group with improved predictive performance when compared with the Child-Pugh and MELD scores.