CT-based radiomics modeling for skull dysmorphology severity and surgical outcome prediction in children with isolated sagittal synostosis: a hypothesis-generating study

Purpose: To investigate the potentialities of radiomic analysis and develop radiomic models to predict the skull dysmorphology severity and post-surgical outcome in children with isolated sagittal synostosis (ISS).

Materials and methods: Preoperative high-resolution CT scans of infants with ISS treated with surgical correction were retrospectively reviewed. The sagittal suture (ROI_entire) and its sections (ROI_anterior/central/posterior) were segmented. Radiomic features extracted from ROI_entire were correlated to the scaphocephalic severity, while radiomic features extracted from ROI_anterior/central/posterior were correlated to the post-surgical outcome. Logistic regression models were built from selected radiomic features and validated to predict the scaphocephalic severity and post-surgical outcome.

Results: A total of 105 patients were enrolled in this study. The kurtosis was obtained from the feature selection process for both scaphocephalic severity and post-surgical outcome prediction. The model predicting the scaphocephalic severity had an area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic of 0.71 and a positive predictive value of 0.83 for the testing set. The model built for the post-surgical outcome showed an AUC (95% CI) of 0.75 (0.61;0.88) and a negative predictive value (95% CI) of 0.95 (0.84;0.99).

Conclusion: Our results suggest that radiomics could be useful in quantifying tissue microarchitecture along the mid-suture space and potentially provide relevant biological information about the sutural ossification processes to predict the onset of skull deformities and stratify post-surgical outcome.