Association of obstructive sleep apnea with thyroid cancer incidence: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Purpose: Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is a postulated carcinogen based on epidemiological associations with all-cancer incidence and non-thyroid biological models. However, associations with thyroid carcinoma are unclear.

Methods: We included observational/randomized studies of associations of OSA with thyroid carcinoma incidence/mortality in adults, from four databases. Random-effects meta-analyses and the population attributable fraction (PAF; from published global OSA prevalence estimates) were computed.

Results: We included four observational studies (N = 2,839,325), all with moderate/low risk of bias. OSA diagnosis was associated with twofold incidence of thyroid carcinoma (pooled HR 2.32, 95% CI 1.35-3.98, I² = 95%), after multi-adjustment for demographics, BMI, smoking, alcohol, and comorbidities. Subgroup analysis of studies with at least 5 years of follow-up showed a stronger association of OSA with thyroid cancer incidence (pooled HR 3.27, 95% CI 2.80-3.82, I² = 0%). Up to 14.5% (95% CI 4.29-27.6%) of incident thyroid carcinomas globally may be associated with OSA. Thyroid carcinoma mortality data was unavailable.

Conclusions: OSA is associated with higher thyroid carcinoma incidence, though this does not prove causation. Biological/clinical studies should investigate OSA severity in relation to thyroid carcinoma progression and mortality, stratified by tumor histology.