Can We Predict a Higher Risk of Urothelial Bladder Cancer With a Simple Blood Test?

Background/aim: The COVID-19 pandemic highlighted the need to develop tools prioritizing high risk patients for urgent evaluation. Our objective was to determine whether Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS), an inflammation-based score, can predict higher grade and stage urothelial bladder cancer in patients with gross hematuria who need urgent evaluation.

Patients and methods: We analyzed a database of 129 consecutive patients presenting with gross hematuria. GPS was calculated using pretreatment C-reactive protein (CRP) and albumin levels. Patients with bacteriuria or other known malignancies were excluded. The relationship between GPS and final diagnosis was analyzed with multivariate logistic regression.

Results: A total of 101 patients were included in the study and 24 patients were identified without any pathology and 77 with a bladder tumor. Pathology demonstrated 21 with muscle invasive, 18 with high grade non-muscle invasive, and 38 with low grade superficial bladder cancer. Twenty-six of 39 (67%) patients with high grade tumors had a GPS of 1 or 2 compared to only 8 out of 62 (13%) patients with either low grade or negative findings (p<0.0001). Ten of 21 (48%) patients with muscle invasive disease had a GPS of 2 compared to 1 out of 18 (6%) with high grade non muscle invasive tumors (p=0.04). On multivariate analysis, GPS was a strong independent predictor of high grade and stage bladder cancer.

Conclusion: GPS may serve as a highly accessible predictor of high grade, high stage, and large urothelial bladder tumors at the time of initial evaluation and can help identify patients who need urgent evaluation.