Predictors of Hospital Mortality Based on Primary Angioplasty Treatment: A Multicenter Case-Control Study

Arq Bras Cardiol. 2022 Sep;119(3):448-457. doi: 10.36660/abc.20210015.
[Article in English, Portuguese]

Abstract

Background: Identification of high-risk patients undergoing primary angioplasty (PCI) is essential.

Objective: Identify factors related to the causes of death in PCI patients.

Methods: This work consisted of a multicenter case-control study using a Brazilian registry of cardiovascular interventions as the data source. The association between each variable and death was assessed using a binary logistic regression model, p <0.05 was considered significant.

Results: A total of 26,990 records were analyzed, of which 18,834 (69.8%) were male patients, with a median age of 61 (±17) years. In the multivariate analysis, the main variables related to the causes of death with their respective odds ratios and 95%confidence intervals (CI) were advanced age, 70-79 years (2.46; 1.64-3.79) and ≥ 80 years (3.69; 2.38-5.81), p<0.001; the classification of Killip II (2.71; 1.92-3.83), Killip III (8.14; 5.67-11.64), and Killip IV (19.83; 14.85-26.69), p<0.001; accentuated global dysfunction (3.63; 2,39-5.68), p<0.001; and the occurrence of infarction after intervention (5.01; 2.57-9.46), p<0.001. The main protective factor was the post-intervention thrombolysis in myocardial infarction (TIMI) III flow (0.18; 0.13-0.24), p<0.001, followed by TIMI II (0.59; 0.41 -0.86), p=0.005, and male (0.79; 0.64-0.98), p = 0.032; dyslipidemia (0.69; 0.59-0.85), p<0.001; and number of lesions treated (0.86; 0.9-0.94), p<0.001.

Conclusion: The predictors of mortality in patients undergoing PCI were Killip's classification, reinfarction, advanced age, severe left ventricular dysfunction, female gender, and post-intervention TIMI 0 / I flow.

Fundamento: A estratificação do risco de morte dos pacientes no contexto da angioplastia primária (ATC) é fundamental.

Objetivo: Identificar os fatores relacionados ao desfecho morte em pacientes submetidos a ATC.

Métodos: Estudo de caso-controle, utilizando como fonte de dados um registro brasileiro. A associação entre cada variável e o desfecho óbito foi avaliada via modelo de regressão logística binária. Consideramos significativo p<0,05.

Resultados: Foram analisados 26.990 registros, sendo 18.834 (69,8%) do sexo masculino, com idade mediana de 61 (17) anos. Na análise multivariada, as principais variáveis relacionadas ao desfecho óbito com seus respectivos odds ratio e intervalos de confiança (IC) com nível de significância de 95% foram a idade avançada 70 - 79 anos (2,46; 1,64 - 3,79) e ≥ 80 anos (3,68; 2,38 - 5,81), p<0,001, classificação de Killip II (2,71; 1,92 - 3,83), Killip III (8,14; 5,67 - 11,64), Killip IV (19,83; 14,85 - 26,69), p<0,001, disfunção global acentuada do ventrículo esquerdo (VE) (3,63; 2,39 - 5,68), p<0,001 e ocorrência de infarto após a intervenção (5,01; 2,57- 9,46), p<0,001. O principal fator protetor foi o fluxo TIMI III pós-intervenção (0,18; 0,13 - 0,24), p<0,001, seguido do TIMI II (0,59; 0,41 - 0,86), p=0,005, sexo masculino (0,79; 0,64 - 0,98), p= 0,032, dislipidemia (0,69; 0,59 - 0,85), p<0,001 e número de lesões tratadas (0,86; 0,9 - 0,94), p<0,001.

Conclusão: Os preditores de mortalidade nos pacientes submetidos a ATC foram: classificação de Killip, reinfarto, idade, disfunção global acentuada do VE, sexo feminino e fluxo TIMI 0/I pós-intervenção.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Angioplasty, Balloon, Coronary* / adverse effects
  • Case-Control Studies
  • Female
  • Hospital Mortality
  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Myocardial Infarction*
  • Treatment Outcome