Predicting permanent pacemaker implantation following transcatheter aortic valve replacement: A contemporary meta-analysis of 981,168 patients

Background: Heart block requiring permanent pacemaker (PPM) implantation is a relatively frequent complication of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR).

Objective: The purpose of this study was to perform a contemporary meta-analysis to provide an updated assessment of clinically useful predictors of PPM implantation post-TAVR.

Methods: Medline and EMBASE searches were performed to include all studies reporting PPM post-TAVR between 2015 and 2020. Pertinent data were extracted from the studies for further analysis. RevMan was used to create forest plots and calculate risk ratios (RRs).

Results: We evaluated 41 variables from 239 studies with a total of 981,168 patients. From this cohort, 17.4% received a PPM following TAVR. Strong predictors for PPM implant were right bundle branch block (RBBB) (RR 3.12; P <.001) and bifascicular block (RR 2.40; P = .002). Intermediate factors were chronic kidney disease (CKD) (RR 1.53; P <.0001) and first-degree atrioventricular block (FDAVB) (RR 1.44; P <.001). Weak factors (RR 1-1.50; P <.05) were male gender, age ≥80 years, body mass index ≥25, diabetes mellitus (DM), atrial fibrillation (AF), and left anterior fascicular block (LAFB). These factors along with increased left ventricular outflow tract (LVOT) area (>435 mm²) and/or aortic annulus diameter (>24.4 mm) were incorporated to propose a new scoring system to stratify patients into high- and low-risk groups.

Conclusion: Male gender, age ≥80 years, FDAVB, RBBB, AF, DM, CKD, Medtronic CoreValve, transfemoral TAVR, increased LVOT, and aortic annulus diameter were significant predictors of post-TAVR PPM implantation. Preprocedural assessment should consider these factors to guide clinical decision-making before TAVR. Validation of our scoring system is warranted.