Optic nerve sheath diameter, intensive care unit admission and COVID-19-related-in-hospital mortality

Background: Hypoxia and hypercapnia due to acute pulmonary failure in patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) can increase the intracranial pressure (ICP). ICP correlated with the optic nerve sheath diameter (ONSD) on ultrasonography and is associated with a poor prognosis.

Aim: We investigated the capability of ONSD measured during admission to the intensive care unit (ICU) in patients with critical COVID-19 in predicting in-hospital mortality.

Methods: A total of 91 patients enrolled in the study were divided into two groups: survivor (n = 48) and nonsurvivor (n = 43) groups. ONSD was measured by ultrasonography within the first 3 h of ICU admission.

Results: The median ONSD was higher in the nonsurvivor group than in the survivor group (5.95 mm vs. 4.15 mm, P < 0.001). The multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis between ONSD and in-hospital mortality (contains 26 covariates) was significant (adjusted hazard ratio, 4.12; 95% confidence interval, 1.46-11.55; P = 0.007). The ONSD cutoff for predicting mortality during ICU admission was 5 mm (area under the curve, 0.985; sensitivity, 98%; and specificity, 90%). The median survival of patients with ONSD >5 mm (43%; n = 39) was lower than those with ONSD ≤5 mm (57%; n = 52) (11.5 days vs. 13.2 days; log-rank test P = 0.001).

Conclusions: ONSD ultrasonography during ICU admission may be an important, cheap and easy-to-apply method that can be used to predict mortality in the early period in patients with critical COVID-19.