Influenza is an acute respiratory infectious disease caused by influenza virus. It usually exhibits seasonal transmission, but the novel influenza strain can lead to a pandemic with severe human health and socioeconomic consequences. Early warning of influenza epidemic is an important strategy and means for influenza prevention and control. On the basis of reviewing the main influenza surveillance and early warning systems, this study summarizes the principles, applications, advantages and disadvantages, and development prospects of common influenza early warning models, in order to provide reference for research and application of early warning technology for influenza and other acute respiratory infectious diseases.
流感是一种由流感病毒引起的急性呼吸道传染病，通常呈季节性流行。新型流感病毒可能导致大流行，一旦发生将对人群健康、社会经济造成严重影响。实现暴发疫情的早期预警是流感防控的重要策略和手段。本文在回顾国内外主要流感监测预警系统的基础上，总结常见的流感早期预警模型的原理、应用、优缺点和发展前景等，以期为流感以及其他急性呼吸道传染病疫情的预警技术研究与应用提供参考。.