Recent tapering from long-term opioid therapy and odds of opioid-related hospital use

Purpose: The number of patients tapered from long-term opioid therapy (LTOT) has increased in recent years in the United States. Some patients tapered from LTOT report improved quality of life, while others face increased risks of opioid-related hospital use. Research has not yet established how the risk of opioid-related hospital use changes across LTOT dose and subsequent tapering. Our objective was to examine associations between recent tapering from LTOT with odds of opioid-related hospital use.

Methods: Case-crossover design using 2014-2018 health information exchange data from Indiana. We defined opioid-related hospital use as hospitalizations, and emergency department (ED) visits for a drug overdose, opioid abuse, and dependence. We defined tapering as a 15% or greater dose reduction following at least 3 months of continuous opioid therapy of 50 morphine milligram equivalents (MME)/day or more. We used conditional logistic regression to estimate odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Results: Recent tapering from LTOT was associated with increased odds of opioid-related hospital use (OR: 1.50, 95%CI: 1.34-1.63), ED visit (OR: 1.52; 95%CI: 1.35-1.72), and inpatient hospitalization (OR: 1.40; 95%CI: 1.20-1.65). We found no evidence of heterogeneity of the effect of tapering on opioid-related hospital use by gender, age, and race. Recent tapering among patients on a high baseline dose (>300 MME) was associated with increased odds of opioid-related hospital use (OR: 2.95, 95% CI: 2.12-4.11, p < 0.001) compared to patients on a lower baseline doses.

Conclusions: Recent tapering from LTOT is associated with increased odds of opioid-related hospital use.