Refinement of the extended crosswise model with a number sequence randomizer: Evidence from three different studies in the UK

PLoS One. 2022 Dec 30;17(12):e0279741. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0279741. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

The Extended Crosswise Model (ECWM) is a randomized response model with neutral response categories, relatively simple instructions, and the availability of a goodness-of-fit test. This paper refines this model with a number sequence randomizer that virtually precludes the possibility to give evasive responses. The motivation for developing this model stems from a strategic priority of WADA (World Anti-Doping Agency) to monitor the prevalence of doping use by elite athletes. For this model we derived a maximum likelihood estimator that allows for binary logistic regression analysis. Three studies were conducted on online platforms with a total of over 6, 000 respondents; two on controlled substance use and one on compliance with COVID-19 regulations in the UK during the first lockdown. The results of these studies are promising. The goodness-of-fit tests showed little to no evidence for response biases, and the ECWM yielded higher prevalence estimates than direct questions for sensitive questions, and similar ones for non-sensitive questions. Furthermore, the randomizer with the shortest number sequences yielded the smallest response error rates on a control question with known prevalence.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Athletes
  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • Communicable Disease Control
  • Doping in Sports*
  • Humans
  • Surveys and Questionnaires
  • United Kingdom / epidemiology

Grants and funding

Partial funding for the collection was provided by Kingston University London Impact Funding, and Hampshire County Council as part of a separate project. There was no additional external funding received for this study. The funders had no role in any aspects of the study or publication. The funder provided support in the form of salaries for authors [AP and MC], but did not have any additional role in the study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript. The specific roles of these authors are articulated in the ‘author contributions’ section.