In a post-hoc analysis of the phase 3 BLOCKSTONE study (JapicCTI-184180), we investigated household transmission of baloxavir-resistant (PA/I38X) influenza viruses. Using baloxavir resistance rates from prior clinical trials and the rate of influenza transmission observed in the study, the predicted number of PA/I38X transmission events was 4.8, assuming wild type and PA/I38X viruses were equally transmissible. However, no PA/I38X viruses were observed. These results suggest a low potential for baloxavir-resistant influenza virus transmission from treated to untreated individuals, potentially due to reduced viral/transmission fitness for PA/I38X viruses and/or low viral titres at the time when resistant viruses arise.
Keywords: antiviral agents; baloxavir; drug resistance; influenza; transmission; viral.
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