Invasive pneumococcal disease and long-term outcomes in children: A 20-year population cohort study

Background: Although vaccination against Streptococcus pneumoniae infections (such as invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD)) are available, challenges remain in prevention efforts. Moreover, downstream sequelae in children is relatively unknown. Thus, we aimed to evaluate short and long-term health outcomes among children with IPD.

Methods: Analysis of Streptococcus pneumoniae positive isolates from sterile body sites in children (0-17 years) in Alberta (Canada) from 1999 to 2019 was performed retrospectively (n=888). Cases were age and sex-matched to hospitalized population controls. Linkage to administrative health datasets was done to determine comorbidities and healthcare related outcomes. Cox proportional hazards were used to assess differences in time to mortality and hospitalisation between cases and controls in short (<30-day), intermediate (30-90 day), long-term (>90-day) follow-up.

Findings: Proportionally more deaths occurred in cases (4.8 deaths/1000 person-years (PY)) than controls (2.7 deaths/1000 PY), leading to a significant adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of 1.80 (95% CI 1.22-2.64). This increased risk of death was influenced primarily by short-term mortality (319 vs 36 deaths/1000 PY in cases vs controls respectively, aHR 8.78 [95% CI 3.33-23.18]), as no differences were seen in intermediate (14 vs 7 deaths/1000 PY; aHR 2.03, 95% CI 0.41-10.04) or long-term time intervals (2.4 vs 2.3 deaths/1000 PY, aHR 1.03, 95% CI 0.63-1.69).

Interpretation: IPD continues to negatively impact survival in children despite vaccination. Although long-term impact on mortality and hospitalisations may not be substantial, the immediate effects of IPD are significant.

Funding: This work was supported by grants-in-aid from Pfizer Canada and Wyeth Canada Inc all to GJT.