Prognostic value of cellular population data in patients with COVID-19

Background and aims: Beckman Coulter hematology analysers identify leukocytes by their volume (V), conductivity (C) and scatter (S) of a laser beam at different angles. Each leukocyte sub-population [neutrophils (NE), lymphocytes (LY), monocytes (MO)] is characterized by the mean (MN) and the standard deviation (SD) of 7 measurements called "cellular population data" (@CPD), corresponding to morphological analysis of the leukocytes. As severe forms of infections to SARS-CoV-2 are characterized by a functional activation of mononuclear cells, leading to a cytokine storm, we evaluated whether CPD variations are correlated to the inflammation state, oxygen requirement and lung damage and whether CPD analysis could be useful for a triage of patients with COVID-19 in the Emergency Department (ED) and could help to identify patients with a high risk of worsening.

Materials and method: The CPD of 825 consecutive patients with proven COVID-19 presenting to the ED were recorded and compared to classical biochemical parameters, the need for hospitalization in the ward or ICU, the need for oxygen, or lung injury on CT-scan.

Results: 40 of the 42 CPD were significantly modified in COVID-19 patients in comparison to 245 controls. @MN-V-MO and @SD-V-MO were highly correlated with C-reactive protein, procalcitonin, ferritin and D-dimers. SD-UMALS-LY > 21.45 and > 23.92 identified, respectively, patients with critical lung injuries (>75%) and requiring tracheal intubation. @SD-V-MO > 25.03 and @SD-V-NE > 19.4 identified patients required immediate ICU admission, whereas a @MN-V-MO < 183 suggested that the patient could be immediately discharged. Using logistic regression, the combination of 8 CPD with platelet and basophil counts and the existence of diabetes or obesity could identify patients requiring ICU after a first stay in conventional wards (area under the curve = 0.843).

Conclusion: CPD analysis constitutes an easy and inexpensive tool for triage and prognosis of COVID-19 patients in the ED.