Predicting late-stage age-related macular degeneration by integrating marginally weak SNPs in GWA studies

Introduction: Age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is a progressive neurodegenerative disease and the leading cause of blindness in developed countries. Current genome-wide association studies (GWAS) for late-stage age-related macular degeneration are mainly single-marker-based approaches, which investigate one Single-Nucleotide Polymorphism (SNP) at a time and postpone the integration of inter-marker Linkage-disequilibrium (LD) information in the downstream fine mappings. Recent studies showed that directly incorporating inter-marker connection/correlation into variants detection can help discover novel marginally weak single-nucleotide polymorphisms, which are often missed in conventional genome-wide association studies, and can also help improve disease prediction accuracy. Methods: Single-marker analysis is performed first to detect marginally strong single-nucleotide polymorphisms. Then the whole-genome linkage-disequilibrium spectrum is explored and used to search for high-linkage-disequilibrium connected single-nucleotide polymorphism clusters for each strong single-nucleotide polymorphism detected. Marginally weak single-nucleotide polymorphisms are selected via a joint linear discriminant model with the detected single-nucleotide polymorphism clusters. Prediction is made based on the selected strong and weak single-nucleotide polymorphisms. Results: Several previously identified late-stage age-related macular degeneration susceptibility genes, for example, BTBD16, C3, CFH, CFHR3, HTARA1, are confirmed. Novel genes DENND1B, PLK5, ARHGAP45, and BAG6 are discovered as marginally weak signals. Overall prediction accuracy of 76.8% and 73.2% was achieved with and without the inclusion of the identified marginally weak signals, respectively. Conclusion: Marginally weak single-nucleotide polymorphisms, detected from integrating inter-marker linkage-disequilibrium information, may have strong predictive effects on age-related macular degeneration. Detecting and integrating such marginally weak signals can help with a better understanding of the underlying disease-development mechanisms for age-related macular degeneration and more accurate prognostics.