Extracellular volume fraction of the pancreas predicts glucose intolerance in patients undergoing major pancreatic surgeries

Purpose: Pancreatic T1 value and extracellular volume fraction (ECV) are potential imaging biomarkers for pancreatic exocrine and endocrine function. This study aims to evaluate the ability of native T1 value and ECV of the pancreas in predicting postoperative new-onset diabetes (NODM) and worsened glucose tolerance in patients undergoing major pancreatic surgeries.

Methods: This retrospective study involved 73 patients who underwent 3 T pancreatic MRI with pre- and postcontrast T1 mapping before major pancreatic surgeries. Patients were divided into non-diabetic, pre-diabetic and diabetic groups based on their glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) value. Preoperative native T1 value and ECV of the pancreas were compared among the three groups. The correlation of pancreatic T1 value and ECV with HbA1c was assessed by linear regression analysis, and the ability of pancreatic T1 value and ECV for predicting postoperative NODM and worsened glucose tolerance was assessed using Cox Proportional hazards regression analysis.

Results: Native pancreatic T1 value and ECV were both significantly higher in diabetic patients compared to pre-diabetic/non-diabetic patients, and ECV was also significantly higher in pre-diabetic patients compared to non-diabetic patients (all p < 0.05). Both native pancreatic T1 value and ECV showed positive correlation with preoperative HbA1c value (r = 0.50 and 0.55, respectively, both p < 0.001). ECV > 30.7% was the only independent predictor for NODM (HR = 5.687, 95% CI: 1.557, 13.468, p = 0.012) and worsened glucose tolerance (HR = 6.783, 95% CI:, 1.753, 15.842, p = 0.010) after surgery.

Conclusions: Pancreatic ECV predicts the risk of postoperative NODM and worsened glucose tolerance in patients undergoing major pancreatic surgeries.