Background: Ejection fraction (EF) is a key component of heart failure (HF) classification, including the increasingly codified HF with mildly reduced EF (HFmrEF) category. However, the biologic basis of HFmrEF as an entity distinct from HF with preserved EF (HFpEF) and reduced EF (HFrEF) has not been well characterized.
Methods: The EXSCEL trial randomized participants with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) to once-weekly exenatide (EQW) vs. placebo. For this study, profiling of ∼5000 proteins using the SomaLogic SomaScan platform was performed in baseline and 12-month serum samples from N=1199 participants with prevalent HF at baseline. Principal component analysis (PCA) and ANOVA (FDR p<0.1) were used to determine differences in proteins between three EF groups, as previously curated in EXSCEL (EF>55% [HFpEF], EF 40-55% [HFmrEF], EF<40% [HFrEF]). Cox proportional hazards was used to assess association between baseline levels of significant proteins, and changes in protein level between baseline and 12-month, with time-to-HF hospitalization. Mixed models were used to assess whether significant proteins changed differentially with exenatide vs. placebo therapy.
Results: Of N=1199 EXSCEL participants with prevalent HF, 284 (24%), 704 (59%) and 211 (18%) had HFpEF, HFmrEF and HFrEF, respectively. Eight PCA protein factors and 221 individual proteins within these factors differed significantly across the three EF groups. Levels of the majority of proteins (83%) demonstrated concordance between HFmrEF and HFpEF, but higher levels in HFrEF, predominated by the domain of extracellular matrix regulation, e.g. COL28A1 and tenascin C [TNC]; p<0.0001. Concordance between HFmrEF and HFrEF was observed in a minority of proteins (1%) including MMP-9 (p<0.0001). Biologic pathways of epithelial mesenchymal transition, ECM receptor interaction, complement and coagulation cascades, and cytokine receptor interaction demonstrated enrichment among proteins with the dominant pattern, i.e. HFmrEF-HFpEF concordance. Baseline levels of 208 (94%) of the 221 proteins were associated with time-to-incident HF hospitalization including domains of extracellular matrix (COL28A1, TNC), angiogenesis (ANG2, VEGFa, VEGFd), myocyte stretch (NT-proBNP), and renal function (cystatin-C). Change in levels of 10 of the 221 proteins from baseline to 12 months (including increase in TNC) predicted incident HF hospitalization (p<0.05). Levels of 30 of the 221 significant proteins (including TNC, NT-proBNP, ANG2) were reduced differentially by EQW compared with placebo (interaction p<0.0001).
Conclusions: In this HF substudy of a large clinical trial of people with T2DM, we found that serum levels of most proteins across multiple biologic domains were similar between HFmrEF and HFpEF. HFmrEF may be more biologically similar to HFpEF than HFrEF, and specific related biomarkers may offer unique data on prognosis and pharmacotherapy modification with variability by EF.