Unfolded protein response signature unveils novel insights into breast cancer prognosis and tumor microenvironment

Background: The critical role of the unfolded protein response (UPR) in tumorigenesis is widely acknowledged, yet the precise molecular mechanisms underlying its contribution to breast cancer (BC) have not been fully elucidated. The present study aimed to comprehensively explore the expression characteristics and prognostic significance of UPR-related genes in breast cancer METHODS: The transcriptome and clinical data of breast cancer were acquired from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) databases, respectively. Differential expression analysis was conducted on UPR-related genes, and the resulting genes were employed for consensus clustering analysis. A breast cancer prognosis risk model was constructed using univariate, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO), and multivariable Cox regression analyses. Difference in survival outcomes between groups were analyzed Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess predictive performance. The relationship between the risk model and clinical-pathological characteristics, immune infiltration, immunotherapy response, and drug sensitivity was assessed.

Results: Differential expression analysis identified 10 UPR-related genes that were differentially expressed in breast cancer. Using the expression matrix of these genes, two molecular subtypes of breast cancer were characterized, which displayed significant differences in prognostic and immune infiltration characteristics. Drawing from the gene expression profiles that distinguish between the molecular subtypes, a prognostic risk scoring model comprising eight genes was developed. This model stratified BC patients from both the training and validation cohorts into high-risk and low-risk groups. Patients in the low-risk group had better prognoses, while those with advanced clinical stage and T stage exhibited higher risk scores. The high- and low-risk groups exhibited notable disparities in immune cell infiltration and the expression of multiple immune checkpoint-related genes. Additionally, the low-risk group demonstrated elevated immunophenoscore, Merck18, CD274, and CAF scores compared to the high-risk group, along with a lesser sensitivity to chemotherapy drugs. These results suggest that patients within the low-risk group may potentially benefit more from immunotherapy and chemotherapy interventions.

Conclusions: This study developed a novel UPR-derived risk signature, which could robustly predict the survival outcome, immune microenvironment, and chemotherapy response of patients with breast cancer.