Association Between Optimism and Incident Stroke Among Stroke Survivors: Findings From the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing

Ann Behav Med. 2024 Jan 1;58(1):48-55. doi: 10.1093/abm/kaad051.

Abstract

Background: Personality has been implicated in stroke death. However, the role of personality in stroke incidence is unclear.

Purpose: Our primary aim was to investigate associations between optimism, determination, control, and the "Big Five" personality traits on incident stroke. A secondary aim was to assess the potential mediating role of health behaviors in the personality-stroke relationship.

Methods: A total of 3,703 stroke-free participants from the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing provided data on personality using the Midlife Development Inventory at Wave 5 (2010/11). Self-reported incident stroke was assessed from Waves 6 to 8 (2012-2017). Associations were modeled using discrete-time survival proportional odds logistic models. Analyses were adjusted for sociodemographic factors, history of other cardiometabolic diseases, and health behaviors.

Results: Over 6 years follow-up there were 125 incident strokes. Higher optimism (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.66; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.53, 0.82), openness (HR = 0.72; 95% CI 0.53, 0.98), and conscientiousness (HR = 0.59; 95% CI 0.42, 0.84) were associated with reduced incident stroke risk in unadjusted models. After adjustment for sociodemographic factors and history of cardiometabolic disease, only the association between optimism and incident stroke remained significant (HR = 0.72; 95% CI 0.57, 0.92). The effect of optimism remained significant in a final model adjusting for health behaviors (HR = 0.75; 95% CI 0.60, 0.96). There was evidence of a small but significant mediating effect of physical activity.

Conclusions: Higher trait optimism was associated with reduced stroke risk. This association was partially mediated by physical activity albeit the effect was small, and caution warranted inferring causality. The interplay of personality, behavior, and clinical risk factors in stroke incidence and survivorship needs further investigation.

Keywords: Big-five; Health behavior; Personality; Stroke.

Plain language summary

Personality can influence health. Research has linked traits such as optimism with reduced risk of heart attack. This study set out to investigate whether optimism and other personality traits could also influence the risk of stroke. A total of 3,703 people aged 50 and over living in England filled in questionnaires on personality. They were then followed for 6 years to see who developed stroke. The study found that more optimistic people had a reduced risk of stroke. People who had more conscientious and more open personality types also had a lower risk of stroke. However, the strongest effects were found for optimism, where optimistic people had a lower stroke risk regardless of their clinical risk or health behaviors. It is unknown why optimism may help reduce stroke risk. One possibility coming from the study data suggests that optimistic people are more likely to be physically active which then helps reduce stroke risk. More research is needed to understand how personality might influence health behaviors to reduce the risk of people having a stroke.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Aging
  • Humans
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Optimism*
  • Personality
  • Stroke* / epidemiology
  • Survivors