Application of Machine Learning Algorithm in Predicting Axillary Lymph Node Metastasis from Breast Cancer on Preoperative Chest CT

Axillary lymph node (ALN) status is one of the most critical prognostic factors in patients with breast cancer. However, ALN evaluation with contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) has been challenging. Machine learning (ML) is known to show excellent performance in image recognition tasks. The purpose of our study was to evaluate the performance of the ML algorithm for predicting ALN metastasis by combining preoperative CECT features of both ALN and primary tumor. This was a retrospective single-institutional study of a total of 266 patients with breast cancer who underwent preoperative chest CECT. Random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), and neural network (NN) algorithms were used. Statistical analysis and recursive feature elimination (RFE) were adopted as feature selection for ML. The best ML-based ALN prediction model for breast cancer was NN with RFE, which achieved an AUROC of 0.76 ± 0.11 and an accuracy of 0.74 ± 0.12. By comparing NN with RFE model performance with and without ALN features from CECT, NN with RFE model with ALN features showed better performance at all performance evaluations, which indicated the effect of ALN features. Through our study, we were able to demonstrate that the ML algorithm could effectively predict the final diagnosis of ALN metastases from CECT images of the primary tumor and ALN. This suggests that ML has the potential to differentiate between benign and malignant ALNs.