What do people living with chronic pain want from a pain forecast? A research prioritization study

PLoS One. 2023 Oct 12;18(10):e0292968. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0292968. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

Because people with chronic pain feel uncertain about their future pain, a pain-forecasting model could support individuals to manage their daily pain and improve their quality of life. We conducted two patient and public involvement activities to design the content of a pain-forecasting model by learning participants' priorities in the features provided by a pain forecast and understanding the perceived benefits that such forecasts would provide. The first was a focus group of 12 people living with chronic pain to inform the second activity, a survey of 148 people living with chronic pain. Respondents prioritized forecasting of pain flares (100, or 68%) and fluctuations in pain severity (94, or 64%), particularly the timing of the onset and the severity. Of those surveyed, 75% (or 111) would use a future pain forecast and 80% (or 118) perceived making plans (e.g., shopping, social) as a benefit. For people with chronic pain, the timing of the onset of pain flares, the severity of pain flares and fluctuations in pain severity were prioritized as being key features of a pain forecast, and making plans was prioritized as being a key benefit.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Chronic Pain* / therapy
  • Focus Groups
  • Forecasting
  • Humans
  • Quality of Life
  • Surveys and Questionnaires

Grants and funding

This work was supported by infrastructure support from the Centre for Epidemiology Versus Arthritis (grant number 21755; https://www.versusarthritis.org/research/our-current-research/our-research-centres/ [versusarthritis.org]). TH receives funding from the Royal Society (grant number INF/R2/180067; https://royalsociety.org/ [royalsociety.org]) and the Alan Turing Institute for Data Science and Artificial Intelligence (https://www.turing.ac.uk/ [turing.ac.uk]). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.