Prognostic value of the systemic immune-inflammation index in patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma after radical nephroureterectomy

Background: To investigate the prognostic significance of the systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) for patients with upper tract urothelial carcinoma (UTUC) after radical nephroureterectomy (RNU) and develop nomogram models for predicting overall survival (OS), intravesical recurrence (IVR), and extra-urothelial recurrence (EUR).

Methods: We retrospectively studied the clinical and pathological features of 195 patients who underwent RNU for UTUC. All patients were randomly divided into a training cohort (99 cases) and a validation cohort (96 cases). The training cohort was used to develop nomogram models, and the models were validated by the validation cohort. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression and Cox regression were performed to identify independent predictors. The concordance index (C-index), receiver operator characteristics (ROC) analysis, and calibration plot were used to evaluate the reliability of the models. The clinical utility compared with the pathological T stage was assessed using the net reclassification index (NRI), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Results: SII was an independent risk factor in predicting OS and EUR. The C-index values of the nomogram predicting OS, IVR, and EUR were 0.675, 0.702, and 0.756 in the training cohort and 0.715, 0.756, and 0.713 in the validation cohort. A high level of SII was correlated with the invasion of the mucosa, muscle layer of the ureter, nerves, vessels, and fat tissues.

Conclusion: We developed nomogram models to predict the OS, IVR, and EUR of UTUC patients. The efficacy of these models was substantiated through internal validation, demonstrating favorable discrimination, calibration, and clinical utility. A high level of SII was associated with both worse OS and shorter EUR-free survival.