Survival Improvements in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma with Sequential Therapy by Era

Cancers (Basel). 2023 Nov 6;15(21):5298. doi: 10.3390/cancers15215298.

Abstract

Treatment modalities for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) have changed dramatically, with systemic therapy as the primary option. However, the effect of sequential treatment on prognosis remains unclear. This retrospective study included patients who began systemic therapy between 2009 and 2022. The patients were separated into three groups according to systemic therapy commencement. The number of therapy lines, treatment efficacy, and overall survival (OS) were compared. Multivariate analyses of the prognostic factors were analyzed using the Cox proportional hazards model. Overall, 336 patients were included (period 1: 2009-2013, n = 86; period 2: 2014-2018, n = 132; period 3: 2019-2022, n = 118). A significant etiological trend was observed with decreasing viral hepatitis-related HCC and increasing non-viral hepatitis-related HCC. Across periods 1-3, the proportion of patients who were administered >2 lines progressively increased (1.2%, 12.9%, and 17.0%, respectively; p < 0.001) and the median OS was significantly prolonged (14.3, 16.8, and 31.0 months; p < 0.001). The use of <3 lines, the non-complete and partial response of the first line, modified albumin-bilirubin at grade 2b or 3, an intrahepatic tumor number ≥ 5, extrahepatic metastasis, and alpha-fetoprotein at ≥400 ng/mL were the strongest factors associated with shorter OS. Sequential therapies have contributed to significant improvements in HCC prognosis, suggesting that sequential treatment post-progression is worthwhile for better survival.

Keywords: hepatocellular carcinoma; immune checkpoint inhibitors; molecular targeted therapy; treatment outcome.

Grants and funding

This work was supported in part by funding from the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science KAKENHI (grant numbers 21K07701 and 23K15072 to M.H. and Y.N., respectively) and from AMED under grant JP22fk0210113 to Y.H.