Genetic QT Score and Sleep Apnea as Predictors of Sudden Cardiac Death in the UK Biobank

medRxiv [Preprint]. 2023 Nov 8:2023.11.07.23298237. doi: 10.1101/2023.11.07.23298237.

Abstract

Introduction: The goal of this study was to evaluate the association between a polygenic risk score (PRS) for QT prolongation (QTc-PRS), QTc intervals and mortality in patients enrolled in the UK Biobank with and without sleep apnea.

Methods: The QTc-PRS was calculated using allele copy number and previously reported effect estimates for each single nuclear polymorphism SNP. Competing-risk regression models adjusting for age, sex, BMI, QT prolonging medication, race, and comorbid cardiovascular conditions were used for sudden cardiac death (SCD) analyses.

Results: 500,584 participants were evaluated (56.5 ±8 years, 54% women, 1.4% diagnosed with sleep apnea). A higher QTc-PRS was independently associated with the increased QTc interval duration (p<0.0001). The mean QTc for the top QTc-PRS quintile was 15 msec longer than the bottom quintile (p<0.001). Sleep apnea was found to be an effect modifier in the relationship between QTc-PRS and SCD. The adjusted HR per 5-unit change in QTc-PRS for SCD was 1.64 (95% CI 1.16 - 2.31, p=0.005) among those with sleep apnea and 1.04 (95% CI 0.95 - 1.14, p=0.44) among those without sleep apnea (p for interaction =0.01). Black participants with sleep apnea had significantly elevated adjusted risk of SCD compared to White participants (HR=9.6, 95% CI 1.24 - 74, p=0.03).

Conclusion: In the UK Biobank population, the QTc-PRS was associated with SCD among participants with sleep apnea but not among those without sleep apnea, indicating that sleep apnea is a significant modifier of the genetic risk. Black participants with sleep apnea had a particularly high risk of SCD.

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  • Preprint