Integration of dosimetric parameters, clinical factors, and radiomics to predict symptomatic radiation pneumonitis in lung cancer patients undergoing combined immunotherapy and radiotherapy

Purpose: This study aimed to combine clinical/dosimetric factors and handcrafted/deep learning radiomic features to establish a predictive model for symptomatic (grade ≥ 2) radiation pneumonitis (RP) in lung cancer patients who received immunotherapy followed by radiotherapy.

Materials and methods: This study retrospectively collected data of 73 lung cancer patients with prior receipt of ICIs who underwent thoracic radiotherapy (TRT). Of these 73 patients, 41 (56.2 %) developed symptomatic grade ≥ 2 RP. RP was defined per multidisciplinary clinician consensus using CTCAE v5.0. Regions of interest (ROIs) (from radiotherapy planning CT images) utilized herein were gross tumor volume (GTV), planning tumor volume (PTV), and PTV-GTV. Clinical/dosimetric (mean lung dose and V5-V30) parameters were collected, and 107 handcrafted radiomic (HCR) features were extracted from each ROI. Deep learning-based radiomic (DLR) features were also extracted based on pre-trained 3D residual network models. HCR models, Fusion HCR model, Fusion HCR + ResNet models, and Fusion HCR + ResNet + Clinical models were built and compared using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve with measurement of the area under the curve (AUC). Five-fold cross-validation was performed to avoid model overfitting.

Results: HCR models across various ROIs and the Fusion HCR model showed good predictive ability with AUCs from 0.740 to 0.808 and 0.740-0.802 in the training and testing cohorts, respectively. The addition of DLR features improved the effectiveness of HCR models (AUCs from 0.826 to 0.898 and 0.821-0.898 in both respective cohorts). The best performing prediction model (HCR + ResNet + Clinical) combined HCR & DLR features with 7 clinical/dosimetric characteristics and achieved an average AUC of 0.936 and 0.946 in both respective cohorts.

Conclusions: In patients undergoing combined immunotherapy/RT for lung cancer, integrating clinical/dosimetric factors and handcrafted/deep learning radiomic features can offer a high predictive capacity for RP, and merits further prospective validation.