Background: Next-generation, higher-valency pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs), 15-valent PCV V114 and 20-valent PCV (PCV20), have been assessed by comparing their immune responses across serotypes shared with the 13-valent PCV (PCV13). Without efficacy or real-world vaccine effectiveness (VE) it becomes important to relate IgG titers to VE to aid in the interpretation of the immune response elicited by V114 and PCV20.
Methods: We estimated the protective antibody concentrations for each serotype in 7-valent PCV (PCV7) and PCV13 which were then used to predict the serotype-specific VE for each PCV7 and PCV13 non PCV7 serotype present in V114 and PCV20.
Results: The predicted effectiveness of V114 was comparable to PCV7 and PCV13 for 11 of the 13 shared serotypes (1, 4, 5, 6B, 7F, 9 V, 14, 18C, 19A, 19F, and 23F), with improved effectiveness against serotype 3 and decreased effectiveness against serotype 6A. PCV20 had predicted effectiveness comparable to PCV7 and PCV13 for 7 of the 13 shared serotypes (5, 6A, 7F, 9 V, 18C, 19F, and 23F), with decreased effectiveness against the remaining serotypes (1, 3, 4, 6B, 14, and 19A).
Conclusions: Prediction of serotype-specific VE values suggests that V114 retains greater effectiveness than PCV20 toward most serotypes present in PCV7 and PCV13.
Keywords: Pneumococcal vaccines; Streptococcus pneumoniae; antibodies, bacterial; child, preschool; modeling and simulation; pharmacometrics; protective concentration.
Pediatric pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) first became available in 2000, when the seven-valent PCV (PCV7) was approved. Since then, PCV7 has been replaced by higher-valency vaccines, including the ten-valent (PCV10) and thirteen-valent (PCV13) vaccines and, more recently, fifteen- and twenty-valent vaccines (V114 and PCV20, respectively). The increase in valency provides broader serotype coverage against invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in children. However, IPD due to serotypes contained in PCV7 and PCV13 continue to be observed. In the current study, we used a previously published method to estimate the vaccine effectiveness of V114 and PCV20 in a US and Puerto Rican pediatric population that is recommended to receive a 3 + 1 dosing schedule.