RUNX3 pathway signature predicts clinical benefits of immune checkpoint inhibition plus tyrosine kinase inhibition in advanced renal cell carcinoma

Background: Checkpoint inhibitor immunotherapy plus tyrosine kinase inhibitor (IO/TKI) have been recently recommended as standard first-line therapy for advanced renal cell carcinoma, while no clinical-available biomarker has been applied. This study aimed to investigate the associations between RUNX3 pathway signature and IO/TKI benefits in renal cell carcinoma (RCC).

Methods: Two IO/TKI cohorts (ZS-MRCC, JAVELIN-101) and one high-risk localized RCC cohort (ZS-HRRCC) were included. All samples were evaluated by RNA-sequencing, and RUNX Family Transcription Factor 3 (RUNX3) pathway were determined by single sample gene set enrichment analysis. Flow cytometry were applied for immune cell infiltration and function.

Results: RUNX3 signature was elevated in RCC samples, compared non-tumor tissues (P < 0.001). High-RUNX3 signature was associated with shorter progression-free survival (PFS) in both IO/TKI cohorts (ZS-MRCC cohort, P = 0.025; JAVELIN-101 cohort, P = 0.019). RUNX3 signature also predicted IO/TKI benefit in advanced RCC, compared with TKI monotherapy (interaction p = 0.027). RUNX3 signature was associated with decreased number of GZMB + CD8 + T cells (Spearman's ρ=-0.42, P = 0.006), and increased number of PD1 + CD8 + T cells (Spearman's ρ = 0.29, P = 0.072). Moreover, the integration of RUNX3 signature and GZMB expression showed predictive potential for TKI/IO (log-rank P < 0.001). In addition, the predictive value of RUNX3 signature for IO/TKI benefit was restricted in SETD2-wild type patients (log-rank P < 0.001). Finally, a risk score was established by random forest for IO/TKI benefit, showing remarkable predictive potency (Log-rank P < 0.001).

Conclusions: RUNX3 pathway signature could be a potential predictive biomarker for IO/TKI treatment in advanced RCC, for both prognosis and treatment selection between IO/TKI and TKI monotherapy.