Predictors of lack of glycemic control in persons with type 2 diabetes

Background: Professional guidelines recommend an HbA1c < 7% for most people with diabetes and < 8.5% for those with relaxed glycemic goals. However, many people with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) are unable to achieve the desired HbA1c goal. This study evaluated factors associated with lack of improvement in HbA1c over 3 years.

Methods: All patients with T2DM treated within a major academic healthcare system during 2015-2020, who had at least one HbA1c value > 8.5% within 3 years from their last HbA1c were included in analysis. Patients were grouped as improved glycemic control (last HbA1c ≤ 8.5%) or lack of improvement (last HbA1c > 8.5%). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to assess independent predictors of lack of improvement in glycemic control.

Results: Out of 2,232 patients who met the inclusion criteria, 1,383 had an improvement in HbA1c while 849 did not. In the fully adjusted model, independent predictors of lack of improvement included: younger age (odds ratio, 0.89 per 1-SD [12 years]; 95% CI, 0.79-1.00), female gender (1.30, 1.08-1.56), presence of hypertension (1.29, 1.08-1.55), belonging to Black race (1.32, 1.04-1.68, White as reference), living in low income area (1.86,1.28-2.68, high income area as reference), and insurance coverage other than Medicare (1.32, 1.05-1.66). Presence of current smoking was associated with a paradoxical improvement in HbA1c (0.69, 0.47-0.99). In a subgroup analysis, comparing those with all subsequent HbA1c values > 8.5% (N = 444) to those with all subsequent HbA1c values < 8.5% (N = 341), similar factors were associated with lack of improvement, but smoking was no longer significant.

Conclusion: We conclude that socioeconomic factors like race, type of insurance coverage and living in low-income areas are associated with lack of improvement in HbA1c over a period of 3-years in people with T2DM. Intervention strategies focused on low-income neighborhoods need to be designed to improve diabetes management.