Machine learning-driven diagnostic signature provides new insights in clinical management of hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

Aims: In an era of evolving diagnostic possibilities, existing diagnostic systems are not fully sufficient to promptly recognize patients with early-stage hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) without symptomatic and instrumental features. Considering the sudden death of HCM, developing a novel diagnostic model to clarify the patients with early-stage HCM and the immunological characteristics can avoid misdiagnosis and attenuate disease progression.

Methods and results: Three hundred eighty-five samples from four independent cohorts were systematically retrieved. The weighted gene co-expression network analysis, differential expression analysis (|log2(foldchange)| > 0.5 and adjusted P < 0.05), and protein-protein interaction network were sequentially performed to identify HCM-related hub genes. With a machine learning algorithm, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression algorithm, a stable diagnostic model was developed. The immune-cell infiltration and biological functions of HCM were also explored to characterize its underlying pathogenic mechanisms and the immune signature. Two key modules were screened based on weighted gene co-expression network analysis. Pathogenic mechanisms relevant to extracellular matrix and immune pathways have been discovered. Twenty-seven co-regulated genes were recognized as HCM-related hub genes. Based on the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm, a stable HCM diagnostic model was constructed, which was further validated in the remaining three cohorts (n = 385). Considering the tight association between HCM and immune-related functions, we assessed the infiltrating abundance of various immune cells and stromal cells based on the xCell algorithm, and certain immune cells were significantly different between high-risk and low-risk groups.

Conclusions: Our study revealed a number of hub genes and novel pathways to provide potential targets for the treatment of HCM. A stable model was developed, providing an efficient tool for the diagnosis of HCM.