Background and objectives: Relapse and MRI activity usually decline with aging but are replaced by progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) in patients with multiple sclerosis (PwMS). However, several older PwMS continue to experience clinical relapses, and the impact on their disease remains undetermined. We aimed to determine the impact of an index relapse on disease outcomes in patients older than 50 years and to identify risk factors of disadvantageous outcomes.
Methods: We performed a secondary analysis from 3 prospective cohorts in Germany. We evaluated all PwMS 50 years and older with a relapse ≤60 days before a baseline visit and at least 18 months of follow-up compared with a control cohort of PwMS without a relapse. Patients were stratified according to age ("50-54" vs "55-59" vs "60+") or disease outcomes ("stable" vs "active" vs "progressive," according to the Lublin criteria). We analyzed relapses, MRI activity, relapse-associated worsening, and PIRA. Regression analysis was performed to evaluate the association of specific baseline risk factors and treatment regimen changes with disease outcomes at month 18.
Results: A total of 681 patients were included in the "relapse cohort" (50+: 361; 55+: 220; 60+: 100). The "control cohort" comprised 232 patients (50+: 117; 55+: 71; 60+: 44). Baseline epidemiologic parameters were balanced among cohorts and subgroups. We observed increased abundance of inflammatory activity and relapse-independent disability progression in the "relapse" vs "control" cohort. In the "relapse" cohort, we identified 273 patients as "stable" (59.7%), 114 patients as "active" (24.9%), and 70 patients as "progressive" (15.3%) during follow-up. Cardiovascular risk factors (CVRFs) and older age at baseline were identified as risk factors of progressive, whereas disease-modifying treatment (DMT) administration at baseline favored stable disease. DMT during follow-up was associated with stable over active, but not over progressive disease.
Discussion: A relapse-suggesting underlying active disease-in PwMS older than 50 years was associated with continued disease activity and increased risk of PIRA. Presence of CVRF and absence of DMT at baseline appeared as risk factors of disadvantageous disease courses. An escalation of DMT switch was associated with stable over active but not progressive disease.