Incidence and predictors of 2-year mortality following percutaneous left atrial appendage occlusion in the EWOLUTION trial

Aims: Sufficient survival time following left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO) is essential for ensuring the efficacy and cost-effectiveness of this strategy for stroke prevention. Understanding prognostic factors for early mortality after LAAO could optimize patient selection. In the current study, we perform an in-depth analysis of 2-year mortality after LAAO, focusing particularly on potential predictors.

Methods and results: The EWOLUTION registry is a real-world cohort comprising 1020 patients that underwent LAAO. Endpoint definitions were pre-specified, and death was categorized as cardiovascular, non-cardiovascular, or unknown origin. Mortality rates were calculated from Kaplan-Meier estimates. Baseline characteristics significantly associated with death in univariate Cox regression analysis were incorporated into the multivariate analysis. All multivariate predictors were included in a risk model. Two-year mortality rate was 16.4% [confidence interval (CI): 14.0-18.7%], with 50% of patients dying from a non-cardiovascular cause. Multivariate baseline predictors of 2-year mortality included age [hazard ratio (HR) 1.05, CI: 1.03-1.08, per year increase], heart failure (HR 1.73, CI: 1.24-2.41), vascular disease (HR 1.47, CI: 1.05-2.05), valvular disease (HR 1.63, CI: 1.15-2.33), abnormal liver function (HR 1.80, CI: 1.02-3.17), and abnormal renal function (HR 1.58, CI: 1.10-2.27). Mortality rate exhibited a gradual rise as the number of risk factors increased, reaching 46.1% in patients presenting with five or six risk factors.

Conclusion: One in six patients died within 2 years after LAAO. We identified six independent predictors of mortality. When combined, this model showed a gradual increase in mortality rate with a growing number of risk factors, which may guide appropriate patient selection for LAAO.

Clinical trial registration: The original EWOLUTION registry was registered at clinicaltrials.gov under identifier NCT01972282.