Association of Free Thyroxine with Progression-Free Survival in Intermediate and High Risk Differentiated Thyroid Cancer

Context: Supraphysiologic thyroxine (T4) doses are used in intermediate and high-risk patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (IR/HR-DTC) to suppress tumor progression by thyrotropin (TSH). However, preclinical data suggest that T4 can also act as a growth stimulus for cancer, but there is no clinical evidence supporting this claim.

Objective: We analyzed the association between free T4 (FT4) and progression-free survival (PFS) in patients with IR/HR-DTC.

Methods: This longitudinal cohort study, approved by multi-institutional review board, included patients with IR/HR-DTC treated uniformly with total thyroidectomy, radioiodine (RAI), and TSH suppression therapy, with at least three TSH and FT4 values available. Association between FT4 and PFS at landmarks 6, 12, and 18 months was assessed by Kaplan-Meier survival curves, while competing risks were assessed through Cox proportional hazards model.

Results: From 739 screened patients 382 met the inclusion criteria and were characterized by a median age of 46 (34-59) years, 64.1% women, treated with a median RAI dosage of 159 (110-410) mCi. During follow up of 7.1 (3.4-12.7) years 34.6% experienced disease progression.Elevated FT4, observed in 29.3% of patients, was not associated with worse PFS (HR 0.9, CI 0.54-1.5, p=0.69), while age (HR 1.02, CI 1.004-1.04, p=0.01), tumor size (HR 1.15, CI 1.04-1.28, p=0.01), and metastases to the lateral neck lymph nodes (HR 2.9, CI 1.7-4.74, p<0.001), bones (HR 4.87, CI 1.79-13.3, p=0.002), and brain (HR 5.56, CI 2.54-12.2, p<0.001) were associated with shorter PFS.

Conclusions: Contrary to preclinical evidence, elevated FT4 levels do not affect PFS in patients with IR/HR-DTC.