Background: Retinoblastoma is the most common intraocular malignancy in childhood. Despite one-third of cases occurring in Africa, little is known of the outcomes on the continent. This study aims to explore survival and globe salvage outcomes and identify their risk factors across a large cohort of patients from the African continent.
Methods: A 3-year prospective, observational study was conducted. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to investigate the risk of globe loss and death from retinoblastoma in Africa. Cox regression was used to identify risk factors associated with these outcomes.
Results: A total of 958 patients from 41 African countries and 66 participating centres were enrolled in the study. The survival rate was 78.2% at 1 year and 66.2% at 3 years after diagnosis. Cox regression showed a higher risk of death with the most advanced clinical stage (cT4, HR=6.29 vs cT2, p<0.001). The risk of losing at least one eye after diagnosis was 50% within 4 months and 72.6% within 3 years. Higher risk of enucleation was associated with a higher clinical stage compared with cT1 (cT3, HR=4.11, p=0.001; cT4, HR=3.77, p=0.005).
Conclusion: Nearly one in every four children diagnosed with retinoblastoma in African participating centres succumb to retinoblastoma within 1 year. There is also high morbidity associated with the diagnosis as a large majority of patients require eye removal surgery. The outcome of disease in children with retinoblastoma in Africa is poor compared with other continents and requires prompt intervention by increasing efforts to improve survival and eye salvage outcomes.
Keywords: Neoplasia; Prognosis; Public health; Retina; Risk Factors.
© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2025. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ Group.