Risk factors analysis and construction of predictive models for acute kidney injury in overweight patients receiving vancomycin treatment

Background: Vancomycin-induced acute kidney injury (VI-AKI) is one of its serious adverse reactions. The purpose of this study is to discuss the risk factors for VI-AKI in overweight patients and construct a clinical prediction model based on the results of the analysis.

Methods: Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for VI-AKI and constructed nomogram models. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

Result: Cancer (OR 4.186, 95% CI 1.473-11.896), vancomycin trough concentration >20.0 μg/mL (OR 6.251, 95% CI 2.275-17.180), concomitant furosemide (OR 2.722, 95% CI 1.071-6.919) and vasoactive agent (OR 2.824, 95% CI 1.086-7.340) were independent risk factors for VI-AKI. The AUC of the nomogram validation cohorts were 0.807 (95% CI 0.785-0.846). The calibration curve revealed that the predicted outcome was in agreement with the actual observations. Finally, the DCA curves showed that the nomogram had a good clinical applicability value.

Conclusion: There are four independent risk factors for the occurrence of VI-AKI in overweight patients, and the nomogram prediction model has good predictive ability, which can provide reference for clinical decision-making.