Application of model for end-stage liver disease as disease classification in cardiac valve surgery: a retrospective study based on the INSPIRE database

Background: Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) is an effective predictive marker for renal, hepatic, and cardiac dysfunctions. In this study, we explore the correlation between MELD scores and the outcomes of patients undergoing cardiac valve surgery.

Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of clinical data from patients who underwent cardiac valve surgery, encompassing procedures on the aortic valve, mitral valve, and tricuspid valve, using the Informative Surgical Patient dataset for Innovative Research Environment (INSPIRE) database, we conducted receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses on the study participants and chose MELD as the primary scoring tool for our study due to its optimal area under the curve (AUC), patients were stratified into high (MELD ≥18) and low (MELD <18) groups based on the determined cutoff value. The perioperative clinical data of the two groups were compared.

Results: The analysis revealed 751 patients in the low MELD group (75.5%) and 244 patients (24.5%) in the high MELD group. Patients in the high MELD group exhibited a lower body mass index (BMI) compared to those in the low MELD group. In comparison to the low MELD group, the high MELD group exhibited a higher rate of emergency surgery (10.66% vs. 5.99%, P=0.01), along with prolonged anesthesia time, surgery time, and cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) time. Regarding clinical prognosis, the high MELD group demonstrated a higher 28-day mortality rate (10.66% vs. 0.8%, P<0.001), as also observed in the analysis of three valve subgroups. Additionally, the high MELD group experienced longer hospitalization and intensive care unit (ICU) stay, and a higher proportion of patients requiring mechanical circulatory support, including intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) assist (14.75% vs. 3.86%, P<0.001), extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) assist (7.38% vs. 0.8%, P<0.001), and continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) (27.87% vs. 1.46%, P<0.001) post-surgery. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves illustrated a significantly lower mortality rate in the low MELD group compared to the high MELD group, with highly significant statistical differences (P<0.001).

Conclusions: The MELD score demonstrates a robust predictive value for clinical outcomes following cardiac valve surgery, underscoring its utility as a viable metric for disease stratification research.