Identification of a novel cellular senescence-related lncRNA signature for prognosis and immune response in osteosarcoma

Background: Cellular senescence, a novel hallmark of cancer, is associated with patient outcomes and tumor immunotherapy. However, at present, there is no systematic study on the use of cellular senescence-related long non-coding RNAs (CSR-lncRNAs) to predict survival in patients with osteosarcoma. In this study, we aimed to identify a CSR-lncRNAs signature and to evaluate its potential use as a survival prognostic marker and predictive tool for immune response of osteosarcoma.

Methods: We downloaded a cohort of patients with osteosarcoma from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) databases. We performed differential expression and co-expression analyses to identify CSR-lncRNAs. We performed univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses along with the random forest algorithm to identify lncRNAs significantly correlated with senescence. Subsequently, we assessed the predictive models using survival curves, receiver operating characteristic curves, nomograms, C-index, and decision curve analysis. Based on this model, patients with osteosarcoma were divided into two groups according to their risk scores. Then, using Gene Ontology and Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes analyses, we compared their clinical characteristics to uncover functional differences. We further conducted immune infiltration analyses using estimation of stromal and immune cells in malignant tumor tissues using expression data (ESTIMATE), cell-type identification by estimating relative subsets of rna transcripts (CIBERSORT), and single-sample gene set enrichment analysis for the two groups. We also evaluated the expression of the target genes of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs).

Results: We identified six lncRNAs that were significantly correlated with senescence and accordingly established a novel cellular senescence-related lncRNA prognostic signature incorporating these lncRNAs. The nomogram indicated that the risk model was an independent prognostic factor that could predict the survival of patients with osteosarcoma. This model demonstrated high accuracy upon validation. Further analysis revealed that patients with osteosarcoma in the low-risk group exhibited better clinical outcomes and enhanced immune infiltration.

Conclusions: The six-CSR-lncRNA prognostic signature effectively predicted survival outcomes and patients in the low-risk group might have improved immune infiltration.