The prognostic value of triglyceride-glucose index to adverse renal outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus: results from the cohort study of ACCORD

Background: The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is a new and good biomarker of insulin resistance (IR). The prognostic utility of the TyG index for patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) remains uncertain. Our study seeks to elucidate the connection between the TyG index and adverse renal outcomes within a T2DM population, while also examining if these relationships are influenced by subgroup variations.

Methods: We analyzed data from the Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes (ACCORD) trial, involving 10,196 T2DM participants, to assess the link between triglyceride-glucose levels and adverse renal outcomes. This evaluation included Restricted Cubic Spline (RCS) analysis, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, and Multivariate Cox proportional regression. Additionally, we examined the interaction between subgroups concerning adverse renal outcomes.

Results: During a 7-year follow-up, 5824 patients (57.1%) experienced worsening renal function, 2309 patients (23.2%) developed albuminuria, and 280 patients (2.7%) advanced to renal failure. After adjusting for a range of confounding variables, triglyceride-glucose levels were significantly linked to both worsening renal function (p < 0.001) and the onset of albuminuria (p = 0.020). Nonetheless, no significant association was observed between triglyceride-glucose levels and renal failure (p = 0.247). Furthermore, there was no significant subgroups interaction to the associations between TyG levels and adverse renal outcomes.

Conclusion: Our study underscores the significant relationship between the triglyceride-glucose index and the risk of adverse renal outcomes in patients with T2DM. The TyG index, as a readily calculable measure, offers clinicians a valuable tool for anticipating the risk of adverse renal outcomes in this patient population.