Single- and multi-site radiomics may improve overall survival prediction for patients with metastatic lung adenocarcinoma

Purpose: The purpose of this study was to assess whether single-site and multi-site radiomics could improve the prediction of overall survival (OS) of patients with metastatic lung adenocarcinoma compared to clinicopathological model.

Materials and methods: Adults with metastatic lung adenocarcinoma, pretreatment whole-body contrast-enhanced computed tomography examinations, and performance status (WHO-PS) ≤ 2 were included in this retrospective single-center study, and randomly assigned to training and testing cohorts. Radiomics features (RFs) were extracted from all measurable lesions with volume ≥ 1 cm³. Radiomics prognostic scores based on the largest tumor (RPS_largest) and the average RF values across all tumors per patient (RPS_average) were developed in the training cohort using 5-fold cross-validated LASSO-penalized Cox regression. Intra-patient inter-tumor heterogeneity (IPITH) metrics were calculated to quantify the radiophenotypic dissimilarities among all tumors within each patient. A clinicopathological model was built in the training cohort using stepwise Cox regression and enriched with combinations of RPS_average, RPS_largest and IPITH. Models were compared with the concordance index in the independent testing cohort.

Results: A total of 300 patients (median age: 63.7 years; 40.7% women; median OS, 16.3 months) with 1359 lesions were included (200 and 100 patients in the training and testing cohorts, respectively). The clinicopathological model included WHO-PS = 2 (hazard ratio [HR] = 3.26; P < 0.0001), EGFR, ALK, ROS1 or RET mutations (HR = 0.57; P = 0.0347), IVB stage (HR = 1.65; P = 0.0211), and liver metastases (HR = 1.47; P = 0.0670). In the testing cohort, RPS_average, RPS_largest and IPITH were associated with OS (HR = 85.50, P = 0.0038; HR = 18.83, P = 0.0082 and HR = 8.00, P = 0.0327, respectively). The highest concordance index was achieved with the combination of clinicopathological variables and RPS_average, significantly better than that of the clinicopathological model (concordance index = 0.7150 vs. 0.695, respectively; P = 0.0049) CONCLUSION: Single-site and multi-site radiomics-based scores are associated with OS in patients with metastatic lung adenocarcinoma. RPS_average improves the clinicopathological model.