Correlates of Nucleocapsid Antibodies and a Combination of Spike and Nucleocapsid Antibodies Against Protection of SARS-CoV-2 Infection During the Omicron XBB.1.16/EG.5-Predominant Wave

Background: We aimed to examine the association among nucleocapsid (N) antibodies, a combination of N and spike (S) antibodies, and protection against SARS-CoV-2 reinfection.

Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study among staff at a national medical research center in Tokyo and followed them for the incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection between June and September 2023 (Omicron XBB.1.16/EG.5 wave). At baseline, participants donated blood samples to measure N- and S-specific antibodies. Cox regression was used to estimate the hazard ratio and protection ([1 - hazard ratio] × 100) against subsequent SARS-CoV-2 infection across these antibody levels.

Results: Among participants with previous infection, higher pre-reinfection N antibodies were associated with a lower risk of reinfection, even after adjusting S antibody levels (P < .01 for trend). Estimation of the protection matrix for N and S antibodies revealed that high levels in N and S antibodies conferred robust protection (>90%) against subsequent infection. In addition, a pattern of low pre-reinfection N antibodies but high vaccine-enhanced S antibodies showed high protection (>80%).

Conclusions: Pre-reinfection N antibody levels correlated with protection against reinfection, independent of S antibodies. If the N antibodies were low, vaccine-boosted S antibodies might enhance the reinfection protection.