Effects of atrial fibrillation screening according to thyroid function: Post-hoc analysis of the randomized LOOP study

Purpose: Subclinical thyroid dysfunction is a marker for atrial fibrillation (AF) and stroke risk. This study explored the effects of AF screening according to thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) levels.

Methods: An AF screening trial (the LOOP study) was analyzed post-hoc according to baseline TSH. The primary outcome was stroke or systemic embolism (SE). Secondary outcomes included major bleeding, all-cause death, and the combination of stroke, SE, and cardiovascular death.

Results: TSH measurement was available in 6003 of 6004 trial participants, 1500 randomized to implantable loop recorder (ILR) screening for AF and anticoagulation upon detection vs. 4503 to usual care; mean age was 74.7±4.1 years and 2836 (47%) were women. AF detection was approximately triple for ILR vs usual care across TSH tertiles (adjusted p-interaction=0.44). In the first tertile, screening was associated with decreased risk of the primary outcome (hazard ratio 0.52 [0.30-0.90]; p=0.02) and stroke, SE, or cardiovascular death (hazard ratio 0.54 [0.34-0.84]; p=0.006) compared to usual care, while no effect was observed among participants with higher TSH (adjusted p-interaction 0.03 and 0.01, respectively). There was no effect on other outcomes. Analyses of continuous TSH or excluding those with abnormal TSH or thyroid medication showed similar results.

Conclusion: AF screening and subsequent treatment was associated with decreased stroke risk among participants with low TSH, though the yield of screening was similar across TSH levels. TSH may be useful as a marker to indicate benefit from AF screening vs. overdiagnosis and overtreatment. These findings should be considered exploratory and warrant further study.

Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier: NCT0203645.