The association between triglyceride-glucose index and its combination with systemic inflammation indicators and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in the general US population: NHANES 1999-2018

Background: The correlation between the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and mortality in the general population remains controversial, with inconsistent conclusions emerging from different studies.

Objective: This study aims to investigate whether there is an association between the TyG index and mortality in the general population in the United States, and to explore whether a new index combining the TyG index with systemic inflammation indicators can better predict all-cause and cardiovascular mortality risks in the general population than using the TyG index alone.

Methods: Calculate the systemic inflammation indicators and TyG index for each participant based on their complete blood count, as well as their triglyceride and glucose levels in a fasting state. TyG-inflammation indices were obtained by multiplying the TyG index with systemic inflammation indicators (TyG-NLR, TyG-MLR, TyG-lgPLR, TyG-lgSII, and TyG-SIRI). Based on the weighted Cox proportional hazards model, assess whether the TyG and TyG-Inflammation indices are associated with mortality risk in the general population. Restricted cubic splines (RCS) are used to clarify the dose-response relationship between the TyG and TyG-Inflammation indices and mortality, and to visualize the results. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves are used to evaluate the accuracy of the TyG and TyG-Inflammation indices in predicting adverse outcomes.

Results: This study included 17,118 participants. Over a median follow-up period of 125 months, 2595 patients died. The TyG index was not found to be related to mortality after adjusting for potentially confounding factors. However, the TyG-inflammation indices in the highest quartile (Q4), except for TyG-lgPLR, were significantly associated with both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, compared to those in the lowest quartile (Q1). Among them, TyG-MLR and TyG-lgSII showed the strongest correlations with all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality. Specifically, compared to their respective lowest quartiles (Q1), participants in the highest quartile (Q4) of TyG-MLR had a 48% increased risk of all-cause mortality (95% CI: 1.23-1.77, P for trend < 0.0001), while participants in the highest quartile (Q4) of TyG-lgSII had a 92% increased risk of cardiovascular mortality (95% CI: 1.31-2.81, P for trend < 0.001). Time-dependent ROC curve analysis showed that the TyG-MLR had the highest accuracy in predicting long-term mortality outcomes.

Conclusions: The TyG-Inflammation indices constructed based on TyG and systemic inflammation indicators are closely related to mortality in the general population and can better predict the risk of adverse outcomes. However, no association between TyG and mortality in the general population was found.