Pancreatic cancer mortality trends in the United States: how much have we moved the needle?

Background: Despite advances made in pancreatic cancer treatment, the extent of progress made in pancreatic cancer mortality at the population level remains unclear. Our cross-sectional study sought to measure trends in pancreatic cancer mortality in the United States in the last 2 decades.

Methods: Patients with pancreatic cancer mortality from 1999 to 2020 were analyzed from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC WONDER). Age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMRs) per 100,000 individuals were measured. We used joinpoint trend analysis to determine average annual percent change (AAPC) in AAMR trends.

Results: From 1999 to 2020, pancreatic cancer accounted for 809,197 deaths. Overall, the AAMRs of pancreatic cancer increased from 20.74 per 100,000 individuals in 1999 to 21.60 per 100,000 individuals in 2020. The highest AAMR was recorded in non-Hispanic Black males (30.11 per 100,000 individuals), and the lowest, in non-Hispanic White females (18.51 per 100,000 individuals). Patients aged 75-84 years had the highest AAMR (6.87 per 100,000 individuals) compared to the younger patients. The highest AAMR was observed in the Northeast region (22.07 per 100,000 individuals) and rural regions (21.29 per 100,000 individuals).

Conclusions: There was no improvement in pancreatic cancer mortality in the last two decades. These findings emphasize the importance of efforts to increase access to multidisciplinary cancer care with the realization that without it, improvements in treatment standards will not translate to lower cancer mortality at the population level.