Bayesian parametric estimation based on left-truncated competing risks data under bivariate Clayton copula models

J Appl Stat. 2024 Feb 22;51(13):2690-2708. doi: 10.1080/02664763.2024.2315458. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

In observational/field studies, competing risks and left-truncation may co-exist, yielding 'left-truncated competing risks' settings. Under the assumption of independent competing risks, parametric estimation methods were developed for left-truncated competing risks data. However, competing risks may be dependent in real applications. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian estimator for both independent competing risks and copula-based dependent competing risks models under left-truncation. The simulations show that the Bayesian estimator for the copula-based dependent risks model yields the desired performance when competing risks are dependent. We also comprehensively explore the choice of the prior distributions (Gamma, Inverse-Gamma, Uniform, half Normal and half Cauchy) and hyperparameters via simulations. Finally, two real datasets are analyzed to demonstrate the proposed estimators.

Keywords: Bayesian estimation; Weibull distribution; competing risk; copula; survival analysis; truncation.

Grants and funding

This work was financially supported by JSPS KAKENHI [JP21K12127, JP22K11948, 22K11948].