Disease extent according to baseline [18F]fluorodeoxyglucose PET/CT and molecular subtype: prediction of axillary treatment response after neoadjuvant systemic therapy for breast cancer

Background: Axillary disease extent according to baseline [18F]fluorodeoxyglucose PET/CT combined with pathological axillary treatment response has been proposed to guide de-escalation of axillary treatment for clinically node-positive breast cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant systemic therapy. The aim of this study was to assess whether axillary disease extent according to baseline [18F]fluorodeoxyglucose PET/CT and breast cancer molecular subtype are predictors of axillary pCR.

Methods: This study included clinically node-positive patients treated with neoadjuvant systemic therapy in the prospective Radioactive Iodine Seed placement in the Axilla with Sentinel lymph node biopsy ('RISAS') trial (NCT02800317) with baseline [18F]fluorodeoxyglucose PET/CT imaging available. The predictive value of axillary disease extent according to baseline [18F]fluorodeoxyglucose PET/CT and breast cancer molecular subtype to estimate axillary pCR was evaluated using logistic regression analysis. Discriminative ability is expressed using ORs with 95% confidence intervals.

Results: Overall, 185 patients were included, with an axillary pCR rate of 29.7%. The axillary pCR rate for patients with limited versus advanced baseline axillary disease according to [18F]fluorodeoxyglucose PET/CT was 31.9% versus 26.1% respectively. Axillary disease extent was not a significant predictor of axillary pCR (OR 0.75 (95% c.i. 0.38 to 1.46) (P = 0.404)). There were significant differences in axillary pCR rates between breast cancer molecular subtypes. The lowest probability (7%) was found for hormone receptor+/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2- tumours. Using this category as a reference group, significantly increased ORs of 14.82 for hormone receptor+/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2+ tumours, 40 for hormone receptor-/human epidermal growth factor receptor 2+ tumours, and 6.91 for triple-negative tumours were found (P < 0.001).

Conclusion: Molecular subtype is a significant predictor of axillary pCR after neoadjuvant systemic therapy, whereas axillary disease extent according to baseline [18F]fluorodeoxyglucose PET/CT is not.