Elevated Triglyceride-Glucose (TyG) Index Predicts Poor Clinical Outcomes in Critically Ill AECOPD Patients: A Retrospective Study

Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis. 2024 Oct 1:19:2217-2228. doi: 10.2147/COPD.S477268. eCollection 2024.

Abstract

Purpose: The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is a surrogate biomarker of insulin resistance which has been widely used in intensive care unit (ICU) to predict prognosis. However, its role in critically ill acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD) patients remains largely unknown.

Material and methods: A total of 645 AECOPD patients were induced in this retrospective cohort study, which extracted data from the eICU Collaborative Research Database (eICU-CRD). The TyG index was calculated as Ln (fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting plasma glucose (mg/dL)/2). The primary endpoint includes in-hospital mortality and ICU mortality. The secondary endpoint was sepsis, acute kidney injury (AKI), and acute respiratory failure (ARF).

Results: Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that the TyG index was independently associated with an increased risk of in-hospital mortality (hazard ratio, HR: 1.45, 95% CI: 1.04-2.01, P = 0.028) and ICU mortality (HR: 2.13, 95% CI: 1.28-3.54, P = 0.004). Moreover, the TyG index was independently associated with an increased risk of sepsis (odds ratio, OR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.24-1.93, P < 0.001), AKI (OR: 1.57, 95% CI: 1.26-2.02, P < 0.001) and ARF (OR: 1.50, 95% CI: 1.20-1.87, P < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis revealed that higher TyG indexes were also related to increased in-hospital mortality and ICU mortality. In addition, the restricted cubic splines regression model demonstrated that the in-hospital mortality and ICU mortality increased linearly with increasing TyG index (P for non-linearity = 0.897, P for non-linearity = 0.897, respectively).

Conclusion: Elevated TyG index was independently associated with an increased risk of poor clinical outcomes in critically ill AECOPD patients. A prospective study to define TyG as a biomarker for prognosis prediction in critically ill AECOPD patients is warranted.

Keywords: AECOPD; eICU-CRD database; mortality; triglyceride-glucose index.

MeSH terms

  • Acute Kidney Injury* / blood
  • Acute Kidney Injury* / diagnosis
  • Acute Kidney Injury* / mortality
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Biomarkers* / blood
  • Blood Glucose* / metabolism
  • Chi-Square Distribution
  • Critical Illness*
  • Databases, Factual
  • Disease Progression
  • Female
  • Hospital Mortality*
  • Humans
  • Insulin Resistance
  • Intensive Care Units*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multivariate Analysis
  • Odds Ratio
  • Predictive Value of Tests*
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models
  • Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive* / blood
  • Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive* / diagnosis
  • Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive* / mortality
  • Pulmonary Disease, Chronic Obstructive* / physiopathology
  • Respiratory Insufficiency / blood
  • Respiratory Insufficiency / diagnosis
  • Respiratory Insufficiency / mortality
  • Retrospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Sepsis* / blood
  • Sepsis* / diagnosis
  • Sepsis* / mortality
  • Time Factors
  • Triglycerides* / blood
  • Up-Regulation

Substances

  • Triglycerides
  • Biomarkers
  • Blood Glucose

Grants and funding

There is no funding to report.