Small Multi-Gene DNA Panel Can Aid in Reducing the Surgical Resection Rate and Predicting the Malignancy Risk of Thyroid Nodules

Background: We explored the utility of a small multi-gene DNA panel for assessing molecular profiles of thyroid nodules and influencing clinical decisions by comparing outcomes between tested and untested nodules.

Methods: Between April 2022 and May 2023, we prospectively performed fine-needle aspiration (FNA) with gene testing via DNA panel of 11 genes (BRAF, RAS [NRAS, HRAS, KRAS], EZH1, DICER1, EIF1AX, PTEN, TP53, PIK3CA, TERT promoter) in 278 consecutive nodules (panel group). Propensity score-matching (1:1) was performed with 475 nodules that consecutively underwent FNA without gene testing between January 2021 and December 2021 (control group).

Results: In the panel group, positive call rate for mutations was 41.7% (BRAF 16.2%, RAS 12.6%, others 11.5%, double mutation 1.4%) for all nodules, and 40.0% (BRAF 4.3%, RAS 19.1%, others 15.7%, double mutation 0.9%) for indeterminate nodules. Benign call rate was 69.8% for all nodules, and 75.7% for indeterminate nodules. In four nodules, additional TP53 (in addition to BRAF or EZH1) or PIK3CA (in addition to BRAF or TERT) mutations were co-detected. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 80.0%, 53.3%, 88.1%, 38.1% for all nodules, and 78.6%, 45.5%, 64.7%, 62.5% for indeterminate nodules, respectively. Panel group exhibited lower surgical resection rates than the control group for all nodules (27.0% vs. 52.5%, P<0.001), and indeterminate nodules (23.5% vs. 68.2%, P<0.001). Malignancy risk was significantly different between the panel and control groups (81.5% vs. 63.9%, P=0.008) for all nodules.

Conclusion: Our panel aids in managing thyroid nodules by providing information on malignancy risk based on mutations, potentially reducing unnecessary surgery in benign nodules or patients with less aggressive malignancies.